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27 Sep · 13:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JSJan Steffan
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1480
2-3Final setsMalek won
LMLukas Malek
🇨🇿Lukas Malek
ELO 1454
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Steffan at 52%. The actual result was Lukas Malek 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jan Steffan favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 74.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jan Steffan −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jan Steffan −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
4.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Steffan is favoured to win, below means Lukas Malek.

▲ Jan Steffanpre 49% → final 17%
Lukas Malek ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsMalek recovered from 18%72 points · 5 games