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28 Sep · 07:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MSMartin Stefek
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1424
2-3Final setsMoravek won
JMJiri Moravek
🇨🇿Jiri Moravek
ELO 1461
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Moravek at 56%. The actual result was Jiri Moravek 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jiri Moravek favoured — closing 1.53
Favourite won
Total 75.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jiri Moravek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jiri Moravek −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
6.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Stefek is favoured to win, below means Jiri Moravek.

▲ Martin Stefekpre 47% → final 1%
Jiri Moravek ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsMoravek recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games