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28 Sep · 09:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MMMarcel Marjan
🇨🇿Marcel Marjan
ELO 1342
3-0Final setsMarjan won
J1Jaroslav Strnad 1961
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1206
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marjan at 57%. The actual result was Marcel Marjan 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marjan favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 74.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marjan −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marjan −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 2.8
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
7.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcel Marjan is favoured to win, below means Jaroslav Strnad 1961.

▲ Marcel Marjanpre 61% → final 100%
Jaroslav Strnad 1961 ▼
Biggest swing 53 pts69 points · 3 games