Lukas Malek vs Jaroslav Novotny — Czech Liga Pro

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28 Sep · 10:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇨🇿Lukas Malek

ELO 1482

3-1Final setsMalek won

🇨🇿Jaroslav Novotny

ELO 1483

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Malek at 51%. The actual result was Lukas Malek 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Lukas Malek — profile →Jaroslav Novotny — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Novotny favoured — closing 1.82

Upset

Total 76.5

72 points played

Under

Set handicap

Novotny −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Novotny −1.5 points

Covered

Total sets 3.5

closing 1.33

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

4.95

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukas Malek is favoured to win, below means Jaroslav Novotny.

▲ Lukas Malekpre 55% → final 100%

Jaroslav Novotny ▼

Biggest swing 59 ptsMalek recovered from 41%72 points · 4 games