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28 Sep · 13:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JTJan Trefny
🇨🇿Jan Trefny
ELO 1536
3-1Final setsTrefny won
LSLibor Stacho
🇨🇿Libor Stacho
ELO 1500
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Trefny at 52%. The actual result was Jan Trefny 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jan Trefny favoured — closing 1.54
Favourite won
Total 75.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jan Trefny −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jan Trefny −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Trefny is favoured to win, below means Libor Stacho.

▲ Jan Trefnypre 49% → final 95%
Libor Stacho ▼
Biggest swing 55 pts71 points · 4 games