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28 Sep · 13:04 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JSJaroslav Schwan
🇨🇿Jaroslav Schwan
ELO 1555
3-0Final setsSchwan won
LMLukas Martinak
🇨🇿Lukas Martinak
ELO 1533
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Schwan at 50%. The actual result was Jaroslav Schwan 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslav Schwan favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 76.5
54 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jaroslav Schwan −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jaroslav Schwan −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 3
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslav Schwan is favoured to win, below means Lukas Martinak.

▲ Jaroslav Schwanpre 54% → final 89%
Lukas Martinak ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsSchwan recovered from 30%72 points · 4 games