28 Sep · 17:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JS
🇨🇿Jan Stoch
ELO 1499
3-1Final setsStoch won
MH
🇨🇿Marcel Heczko
ELO 1529
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Heczko at 52%. The actual result was Jan Stoch 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Marcel Heczko favoured — closing 1.85
Total 75.5
62 points played
Set handicap
Marcel Heczko −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Marcel Heczko −0.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Stoch is favoured to win, below means Marcel Heczko.
▲ Jan Stochpre 51% → final 23%
Marcel Heczko ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsHeczko recovered from 2%72 points · 5 games