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28 Sep · 21:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DSDavid Szotek
🇨🇿David Szotek
ELO 1454
3-1Final setsSzotek won
MHMarek Holub
🇨🇿Marek Holub
ELO 1484
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Holub at 52%. The actual result was David Szotek 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Holub favoured — closing 1.73
Upset
Total 76.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marek Holub −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marek Holub −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.3
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means David Szotek is favoured to win, below means Marek Holub.

▲ David Szotekpre 44% → final 95%
Marek Holub ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsSzotek recovered from 37%72 points · 4 games