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29 Sep · 03:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MSMartin Skakal
🇨🇿Martin Skakal
ELO 1620
3-2Final setsSkakal won
SKSebastian Kasnik
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1492
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skakal at 56%. The actual result was Martin Skakal 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Skakal favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 75.5
107 points played
Over
Set handicap
Skakal −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Skakal −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.3
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Skakal is favoured to win, below means Sebastian Kasnik.

▲ Martin Skakalpre 53% → final 99%
Sebastian Kasnik ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsSkakal recovered from 42%60 points · 3 games