30 Sept · 16:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MN
🇨🇿Miroslav Novotny
ELO 1361
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Havrda
LH
🇨🇿Leos Havrda
ELO 1362
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Havrda
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 45% · 2.23· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.