30 Sept · 16:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AB
🇨🇿Adam Brazda
ELO 1571
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Brazda
MP
🇨🇿Marcel Pikous
ELO 1553
FormLLWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pikous🌟Brazda rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (46)
Fair odds · Brazda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H18-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.