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30 Sep · 11:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
EMErik Mares
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1709
3-1Final setsMares won
TPTomas Postelt
🇨🇿Tomas Postelt
ELO 1693
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mares at 50%. The actual result was Erik Mares 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Erik Mares favoured — closing 1.83
Favourite won
Total 76.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Erik Mares −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Erik Mares −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Erik Mares is favoured to win, below means Tomas Postelt.

▲ Erik Marespre 54% → final 89%
Tomas Postelt ▼
Biggest swing 80 ptsMares recovered from 20%72 points · 4 games