30 Sept · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Jezek
ELO 1645
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Urbaniec
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1690
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
🌟Jezek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (72)
Fair odds · Urbaniec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 34% · 2.99· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.