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30 Sep · 06:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
EMErik Mares
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1709
2-3Final setsUrbaniec won
RURadim Urbaniec
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1690
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mares at 51%. The actual result was Radim Urbaniec 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Erik Mares favoured — closing 1.68
Upset
Total 73.5
109 points played
Over
Set handicap
Erik Mares −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Erik Mares −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
4.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Erik Mares is favoured to win, below means Radim Urbaniec.

▲ Erik Marespre 47% → final 23%
Radim Urbaniec ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsUrbaniec recovered from 19%72 points · 5 games