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30 Sep · 08:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JCJaromir Cernik
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1296
3-2Final setsCernik won
DMDavid Mutl
🇨🇿David Mutl
ELO 1291
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Cernik at 50%. The actual result was Jaromir Cernik 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaromir Cernik favoured — closing 1.66
Favourite won
Total 75.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jaromir Cernik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jaromir Cernik −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaromir Cernik is favoured to win, below means David Mutl.

▲ Jaromir Cernikpre 54% → final 77%
David Mutl ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsCernik recovered from 17%72 points · 5 games