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30 Sep · 11:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DMDavid Mutl
🇨🇿David Mutl
ELO 1291
3-1Final setsMutl won
MVMiroslav Vaclavik
🇨🇿Miroslav Vaclavik
ELO 1401
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Vaclavik at 58%. The actual result was David Mutl 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Miroslav Vaclavik favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 74.5
83 points played
Over
Set handicap
Miroslav Vaclavik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Miroslav Vaclavik −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.72
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means David Mutl is favoured to win, below means Miroslav Vaclavik.

▲ David Mutlpre 45% → final 94%
Miroslav Vaclavik ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsMutl recovered from 37%72 points · 4 games