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DeuceLab
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30 Sep · 08:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
EMErik Mares
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1709
2-3Final setsKycelt won
JKJakub Kycelt
🇨🇿Jakub Kycelt
ELO 1674
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mares at 51%. The actual result was Jakub Kycelt 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Erik Mares favoured — closing 1.61
Upset
Total 76.5
137 points played
Over
Set handicap
Erik Mares −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Erik Mares −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.3
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Erik Mares is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kycelt.

▲ Erik Marespre 55% → final 95%
Jakub Kycelt ▼
Biggest swing 87 ptsMares recovered from 8%72 points · 5 games