30 Sept · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JL
🇨🇿Jiri Louda
ELO 1524
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Brazda
AB
🇨🇿Adam Brazda
ELO 1571
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Louda🌟Brazda rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (46)
Fair odds · Brazda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 38% · 2.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H19-43
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.