30 Sept · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Pilch
ELO 1628
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zika
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1636
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Zika rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (209)
Fair odds · Zika
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H38-51
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.