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30 Sep · 07:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RVRadomir Vavrecka
🇨🇿Radomir Vavrecka
ELO 1558
3-2Final setsVavrecka won
JSJaroslav Schwan
🇨🇿Jaroslav Schwan
ELO 1541
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Vavrecka at 50%. The actual result was Radomir Vavrecka 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Radomir Vavrecka favoured — closing 1.62
Favourite won
Total 75.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Radomir Vavrecka −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Radomir Vavrecka −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Radomir Vavrecka is favoured to win, below means Jaroslav Schwan.

▲ Radomir Vavreckapre 54% → final 98%
Jaroslav Schwan ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsVavrecka recovered from 30%72 points · 5 games