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29 Sep · 21:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PSPetr Saleny
🇨🇿Petr Saleny
ELO 1606
2-3Final setsWagner won
MWMark Robin Wagner
🇨🇿Mark Robin Wagner
ELO 1547
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Saleny at 54%. The actual result was Mark Robin Wagner 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Petr Saleny favoured — closing 1.79
Upset
Total 75.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Petr Saleny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Petr Saleny −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.3
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Petr Saleny is favoured to win, below means Mark Robin Wagner.

▲ Petr Salenypre 58% → final 95%
Mark Robin Wagner ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsSaleny recovered from 25%72 points · 5 games