30 Sep · 09:04 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1709
3-0Final setsMares won
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Vales
ELO 1695
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Vales at 50%. The actual result was Erik Mares 3-0 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Erik Mares favoured — closing 1.84
Total 76.5
60 points played
Set handicap
Erik Mares −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Erik Mares −0.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 3.2
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Erik Mares is favoured to win, below means Jakub Vales.
▲ Erik Marespre 54% → final 95%
Jakub Vales ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts54 points · 3 games