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30 Sep · 13:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DMDavid Mutl
🇨🇿David Mutl
ELO 1308
3-1Final setsMutl won
LNLadislav Novotny
🇨🇿Ladislav Novotny
ELO 1331
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Novotny at 52%. The actual result was David Mutl 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Ladislav Novotny favoured — closing 1.62
Upset
Total 75.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Ladislav Novotny −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Ladislav Novotny −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means David Mutl is favoured to win, below means Ladislav Novotny.

▲ David Mutlpre 44% → final 99%
Ladislav Novotny ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsMutl recovered from 44%61 points · 3 games