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30 Sep · 17:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
TDTomas Dousek
🇨🇿Tomas Dousek
ELO 1677
2-3Final setsNavedla won
MNMatyas Navedla
🇨🇿Matyas Navedla
ELO 1559
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Dousek at 57%. The actual result was Matyas Navedla 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tomas Dousek favoured — closing 1.54
Upset
Total 75.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tomas Dousek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tomas Dousek −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tomas Dousek is favoured to win, below means Matyas Navedla.

▲ Tomas Dousekpre 61% → final 78%
Matyas Navedla ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsDousek recovered from 24%72 points · 5 games