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30 Sep · 21:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMartin Skakal
🇨🇿Martin Skakal
ELO 1649
3-2Final setsSkakal won
RRRadek Rose
🇨🇿Radek Rose
ELO 1624
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rose at 50%. The actual result was Martin Skakal 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Martin Skakal favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 75.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Martin Skakal −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Martin Skakal −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Skakal is favoured to win, below means Radek Rose.

▲ Martin Skakalpre 54% → final 11%
Radek Rose ▼
Biggest swing 44 pts71 points · 4 games