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30 Sep · 21:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
VDVaclav Dolezal
🇨🇿Vaclav Dolezal
ELO 1494
3-1Final setsDolezal won
JFJan Framberk
🇨🇿Jan Framberk
ELO 1422
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Dolezal at 53%. The actual result was Vaclav Dolezal 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Vaclav Dolezal favoured — closing 1.32
Favourite won
Total 74.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Vaclav Dolezal −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Vaclav Dolezal −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.31
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Vaclav Dolezal is favoured to win, below means Jan Framberk.

▲ Vaclav Dolezalpre 57% → final 99%
Jan Framberk ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsDolezal recovered from 44%72 points · 4 games