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01 Oct · 03:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MWMark Robin Wagner
🇨🇿Mark Robin Wagner
ELO 1578
3-0Final setsWagner won
MSMartin Skakal
🇨🇿Martin Skakal
ELO 1631
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skakal at 54%. The actual result was Mark Robin Wagner 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Skakal favoured — closing 1.59
Upset
Total 75.5
62 points played
Under
Set handicap
Skakal −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Skakal −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 3
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mark Robin Wagner is favoured to win, below means Martin Skakal.

▲ Mark Robin Wagnerpre 49% → final 28%
Martin Skakal ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsSkakal recovered from 19%72 points · 5 games