1 Oct · 21:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1553
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sychra
SK
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1462
FormWWLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+91
H2H21-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-17)