2 Oct · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TD
🇨🇿Tomas Dousa
ELO 1462
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dedek
JD
🇨🇿Jiri Dedek
ELO 1500
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Dedek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H17-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.