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01 Oct · 13:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
LMLudek Madle
🇨🇿Ludek Madle
ELO 1380
3-1Final setsMadle won
JCJaromir Cernik
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1276
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Madle at 55%. The actual result was Ludek Madle 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Ludek Madle favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 75.5
82 points played
Over
Set handicap
Ludek Madle −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Ludek Madle −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.3
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Ludek Madle is favoured to win, below means Jaromir Cernik.

▲ Ludek Madlepre 59% → final 78%
Jaromir Cernik ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsMadle recovered from 20%72 points · 5 games