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01 Oct · 17:03 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RNRostislav Niezgoda
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1690
3-1Final setsNiezgoda won
JSJan Szotkowski
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1708
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szotkowski at 52%. The actual result was Rostislav Niezgoda 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jan Szotkowski favoured — closing 1.72
Upset
Total 76.5
66 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jan Szotkowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jan Szotkowski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.3
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rostislav Niezgoda is favoured to win, below means Jan Szotkowski.

▲ Rostislav Niezgodapre 44% → final 89%
Jan Szotkowski ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsNiezgoda recovered from 39%72 points · 4 games