2 Oct · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1701
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jindrak
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Jindrak
ELO 1755
FormWWWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Jindrak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H39-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.