2 Oct · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Jindrak
ELO 1755
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jindrak
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1650
FormWLWLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Jindrak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+105
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)