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02 Oct · 13:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ABAles Barton
🇨🇿Ales Barton
ELO 1655
3-1Final setsBarton won
JSJan Simecek
🇨🇿Jan Simecek
ELO 1591
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Barton at 53%. The actual result was Ales Barton 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Ales Barton favoured — closing 1.85
Favourite won
Total 75.5
75 points played
Under
Set handicap
Ales Barton −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Ales Barton −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Ales Barton is favoured to win, below means Jan Simecek.

▲ Ales Bartonpre 57% → final 99%
Jan Simecek ▼
Biggest swing 80 ptsBarton recovered from 19%72 points · 5 games