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02 Oct · 13:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMilan Kolar
🇨🇿Milan Kolar
ELO 1482
3-1Final setsKolar won
LMLukas Malek
🇨🇿Lukas Malek
ELO 1485
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Malek at 51%. The actual result was Milan Kolar 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukas Malek favoured — closing 1.81
Upset
Total 75.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Lukas Malek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Lukas Malek −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milan Kolar is favoured to win, below means Lukas Malek.

▲ Milan Kolarpre 53% → final 95%
Lukas Malek ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsKolar recovered from 40%72 points · 5 games