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02 Oct · 13:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
OPOndrej Paril
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1696
1-3Final setsWawrosz won
PWPavel Wawrosz
🇨🇿Pavel Wawrosz
ELO 1628
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Paril at 55%. The actual result was Pavel Wawrosz 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Ondrej Paril favoured — closing 1.82
Upset
Total 77.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Ondrej Paril −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Ondrej Paril −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.22
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Ondrej Paril is favoured to win, below means Pavel Wawrosz.

▲ Ondrej Parilpre 59% → final 0%
Pavel Wawrosz ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsWawrosz recovered from 40%58 points · 3 games