3 Oct · 02:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1495
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zmuda
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zmuda
ELO 1578
FormLLWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Zmuda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+83
H2H8-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.