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02 Oct · 21:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RWRichard Wagner
🇨🇿Richard Wagner
ELO 1644
3-2Final setsWagner won
OSOndrej Svacha
🇨🇿Ondrej Svacha
ELO 1597
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wagner at 52%. The actual result was Richard Wagner 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Richard Wagner favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 76.5
105 points played
Over
Set handicap
Richard Wagner −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Richard Wagner −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Richard Wagner is favoured to win, below means Ondrej Svacha.

▲ Richard Wagnerpre 49% → final 77%
Ondrej Svacha ▼
Biggest swing 78 ptsWagner recovered from 12%72 points · 5 games