3 Oct · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1516
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Didi
JS
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1463
FormWLLLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Didi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.