3 Oct · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1463
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Steffan
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Briza
ELO 1438
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Steffan
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 31% · 3.24· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H1-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.