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03 Oct · 09:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
LMLudek Madle
🇨🇿Ludek Madle
ELO 1392
3-1Final setsMadle won
ATAndrii Tkachenko
🇨🇿Andrii Tkachenko
ELO 1389
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkachenko at 51%. The actual result was Ludek Madle 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Madle favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 74.5
65 points played
Under
Set handicap
Madle −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Madle −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Ludek Madle is favoured to win, below means Andrii Tkachenko.

▲ Ludek Madlepre 53% → final 98%
Andrii Tkachenko ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsMadle recovered from 44%59 points · 3 games