4 Oct · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1232
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vrabec
MV
🇨🇿Milan Vrabec
ELO 1344
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
🌟1961 stays under total as underdog 63% (112)
Fair odds · Vrabec
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+112
H2H12-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-7)