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03 Oct · 21:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PBPavel Berdych
🇨🇿Pavel Berdych
ELO 1370
0-3Final setsNovotny won
MNMiroslav Novotny
🇨🇿Miroslav Novotny
ELO 1455
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Novotny at 54%. The actual result was Miroslav Novotny 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Miroslav Novotny favoured — closing 1.45
Favourite won
Total 75.5
50 points played
Under
Set handicap
Miroslav Novotny −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Miroslav Novotny −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 3.7
Under
Exact score
market priced 0-3 at close
8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pavel Berdych is favoured to win, below means Miroslav Novotny.

▲ Pavel Berdychpre 42% → final 10%
Miroslav Novotny ▼
Biggest swing 51 ptsNovotny recovered from 39%72 points · 5 games