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DeuceLab
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04 Oct · 03:01 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMilan Smrcek
🇨🇿Milan Smrcek
ELO 1508
1-3Final setsDolezal won
VDVaclav Dolezal
🇨🇿Vaclav Dolezal
ELO 1475
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Smrcek at 52%. The actual result was Vaclav Dolezal 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Smrcek favoured — closing 1.44
Upset
Total 74.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Smrcek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Smrcek −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
3.68
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milan Smrcek is favoured to win, below means Vaclav Dolezal.

▲ Milan Smrcekpre 49% → final 99%
Vaclav Dolezal ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsSmrcek recovered from 41%50 points · 3 games