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04 Oct · 03:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MPMarek Placek
🇨🇿Marek Placek
ELO 1510
3-2Final setsPlacek won
JSJan Steffan
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1453
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Placek at 53%. The actual result was Marek Placek 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Placek favoured — closing 1.49
Favourite won
Total 73.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Placek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Placek −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.35
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marek Placek is favoured to win, below means Jan Steffan.

▲ Marek Placekpre 57% → final 98%
Jan Steffan ▼
Biggest swing 97 ptsPlacek recovered from 2%72 points · 5 games