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05 Oct · 20:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MVMichal Vondrak
🇨🇿Michal Vondrak
ELO 1581
3-0Final setsVondrak won
LTLukas Tonar
🇨🇿Lukas Tonar
ELO 1537
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Vondrak at 50%. The actual result was Michal Vondrak 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Vondrak favoured — closing 1.73
Favourite won
Total 76.5
52 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Vondrak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michal Vondrak −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 3.4
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Vondrak is favoured to win, below means Lukas Tonar.

▲ Michal Vondrakpre 54% → final 99%
Lukas Tonar ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts50 points · 3 games