6 Oct · 01:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JD
🇨🇿Jiri Dedek
ELO 1480
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Fojt
PF
🇨🇿Pavel Fojt
ELO 1503
FormLLLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Fojt
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H19-41
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.