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05 Oct · 16:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ZPZbynek Pagac
🇨🇿Zbynek Pagac
ELO 1506
1-3Final setsUnzeitig won
DUDaniel Unzeitig
🇨🇿Daniel Unzeitig
ELO 1551
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pagac at 53%. The actual result was Daniel Unzeitig 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Zbynek Pagac favoured — closing 1.54
Upset
Total 74.5
82 points played
Over
Set handicap
Zbynek Pagac −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Zbynek Pagac −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
3.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Zbynek Pagac is favoured to win, below means Daniel Unzeitig.

▲ Zbynek Pagacpre 57% → final 12%
Daniel Unzeitig ▼
Biggest swing 52 ptsUnzeitig recovered from 43%60 points · 3 games