6 Oct · 04:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Regner
ELO 1400
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Bartunek
RB
🇨🇿Radek Bartunek
ELO 1461
FormWWWWL
47%
53%
🌟Bartunek stays under total as favourite 63% (134)
Fair odds · Bartunek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~72 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H28-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.