6 Oct · 03:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PP
🇨🇿Petr Picek
ELO 1469
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Picek
TA
🇨🇿Tomas Andrle
ELO 1467
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
🌟Andrle covers set handicap as underdog 70% (74)
Fair odds · Picek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H21-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.